Battlefield V is one of the biggest games coming out this fall, but a forecast of the shooter’s preorder numbers suggest it may struggle to stack up against its biggest competitors.
Battlefield V has been slow to build momentum since its lack-luster reveal shortly before E3 2018. This is likely the driving factor behind industry analyst firm Cowen Group’s reported claim that the shooter is suffering from low preorder numbers.
This claim was detailed in a report by Wall Street Journal tech reporter Sarah E. Needleman, who posted an excerpt from the report on Twitter. The report states that both Call of Duty: Black Ops 4 and Red Dead Redemption 2– easily the two biggest games launching this fall, aside from Battlefield V– are showing much better preorder numbers than Battlefield’s newest installment. The report also predicts Battlefield V may suffer the same sales fate as 2016’s Titanfall 2, considering Battlefield’s launch is similarly caught between these two other massive launches.
— Sarah E. Needleman (@saraheneedleman) August 14, 2018
NPD analyst Mat Piscatella offered up a different perspective about Battlefield V‘s questionable success in his own post on Twitter, shortly following Needleman’s. According to Piscatella, day-one sales numbers are not as indicative of a game’s success as they used to be, presumably due to the post-launch support modern games have seen, keeping their communities active for much longer than before.
Day 1 sales are less important today than they used to be in determining ultimate sales success. Pre-orders are only helpful in estimating day 1, and they’re not as helpful now as they used to be even for that. I wouldn’t put a lot of weight on pre-orders for forecasting in 2018.
— Mat Piscatella (@MatPiscatella) August 15, 2018
Between the current contenders for first place, Black Ops 4 and RDR2, the analyst firm Piper Jaffray expects Black Ops 4 to take 2018 in terms of sales, despite the swell of support for RDR2. However, Jaffray also predicts that Battlefield V will beat out RDR2 for fiscal year 2018. With so many conflicting analyst predictions, it seems like late 2018/early 2019 could be anyone’s game.
Battlefield V is slated to launch on October 19th, one week after Black Ops 4 on October 12th, and one week before Red Dead Redemption 2 on October 26th. All three will launch on PlayStation 4, Xbox One, and PC, with the exception of RDR2 on PC.
Source: VG 24/7