Sony president and CEO Shawn Layden all but confirmed at E3 2017 that there will be a PlayStation 5, even if it will “probably be some time” until an official announcement.
Of course, every vague statement about generational console hardware has to be followed by a prediction from analyst (read: professional guesser) Michael Pachter, though his statements on the upcoming PlayStation 5 seem a little more reasonable this time.
In an interview with Gaming Bolt, Pach-Man revealed his predictions for the PlayStation 5: it will have a 2019 or 2020 release date, and it will be backward compatible.
On top of that, Pachter assumes that the PlayStation 5 will be 4K, which is a fair assumption considering the PS4 Pro’s biggest competition, the Xbox One X, is true 4K-capable, while the PS4 Pro is not. In that way, Pacther predicts that “Sony is probably timing it better because they are going to bring out a 4K capable device when the 4K TV market reaches 50 percent in the USA and 35 percent in the rest of the world.”
According to a recent study by the Consumer Technology Association, 14 percent of households currently have a 4K TV, which might not sound like a lot right now but will almost certainly explode as Ultra High Definition becomes the new standard. While Xbox One X is the first console with true 4K capabilities, the lack of 4K TV owners could create problems in generating sales, while the PlayStation 5’s launch in a couple of years will most likely have a much larger install base.
That being said, it’s understandable if you want to take Pachter’s words with a grain of salt. After all, he did say that the Wii U would pretty much kill Nintendo, and now the Switch is killing it in sales.
But let’s not discount Pacther entirely. His prediction in 2015 that the time of dedicated console generations would come to an end is more or less proving to be true, with the arrival of these half-gen upgrades like the PS4 Pro and the Xbox One X.
Whatever the future holds, one thing can be certain: Michael Pachter will continue make predictions, and we will continue to point out how wrong some of them have been, especially when he said the Wii would only capture a 10 percent market share back in 2005.
Source: Game Rant